My younger brother Josh and I had an interesting conversation about what the best forms of investment are and how he should use his time. This is what I had to share:
I have studied finance and stock with great intensity since I was 12, majored in finance in college, worked at Merrill Lynch (financial institution), and have invested my own money very successfully since graduation….. so things I take to be obvious are not obvious to others. I will try to be more patient and nice.
I do not recommend you invest in stock options or put your money in a savings account. I specifically recommend you use an index fund or perhaps a mutual fund to invest your money (this IS buying actual stocks in the stock market, just through an intermediary, make sense?)
Let’s say that grandpa’s assertion is correct: he can beat the stock market consistently over time in just 1 hour per day (which is not true of even bigtime professional investors who spend 12 hours a day investing for decades). Look at these 2 examples:
- Investor Grandpa…
- Invests in stocks himself $1 million and earns 6% average year over year
- Spends 1-2 hours per day researching stocks, discussing, calls, investing and trading. 400 hours per year. 400 hours / 8 hours in business day = 50 FULL WORKING DAYS PER YEAR
- RESULTS: $1m * 6% = $60k investment increase
- Worker Grandpa
- Invests in mutual funds or index funds himself $1 million and earns 5% average year over year
- Spends 1-2 hours per day building a side business earning on average $40 per hour doing consulting (or airplane certification training or whatever).
- RESULTS: $1m * 5% = $50k investment increase + $40 per hour * 400 hours of side business work = $16,000. Total = $16k + $50k = $66k.
That is with the assumption that Grandpa earns a measly $40/ hour (most everyone I know with businesses can make significantly more). Now let’s look at your case which makes it even clearer:
- Investor Josh…
- Invests in stocks himself $25k and earns 6% average year over year
- Spends 1-2 hours per day researching stocks, discussing, calls, investing and trading. 400 hours per year. 400 hours / 8 hours in business day = 50 FULL WORKING DAYS PER YEAR
- RESULTS: $25k * 6% = $1.5k investment increase
- Worker Josh
- Invests in mutual funds himself $25k and earns 5% average year over year
- Spends 1-2 hours per day building a side business earning on average $75 per hour doing landscaping (which I did 2 years younger than you)
- RESULTS: $25k * 5% = $1.25k investment increase + $75 per hour * 400 hours of side business work = $30,000. Total = $30k + $1.25k = $31.25k.
The bottom line for you Josh is that you should clearly invest in mutual funds or index funds and use the time you save more productively. There is a 20x greater return for you to put your effort into other areas.
Additional notes:
My investment hierarchy:
- A business you run yourself and control that is established
- A business you run yourself and control that is new
- An index fund
- A mutual fund
- Investing in individual stocks yourself
- Loaning money at a significant interest rate to people you trust
- Stock options – I use this strategy for the huge rewards possible. Gambling blood in me leads me astray… but I have done well. Went from $60k to $90k in the last 3 three months.
- Bank savings
- Loaning money to people you don’t trust at significant interest rates or to people you do trust at low interest rates
- Poker at home
- Poker at a casino
- Blackjack at a casino
- Slot machines at a casino
- Lottery tickets
My point is that you should let a paid professional do your stock investing for you… put your money into an index or mutual fund. Make sense?